About us
Numbers, not narratives
This site is a probability model and a discipline, not a tipster group. We publish our method and our record in the open — including the losses.
Why we exist
This industry's biggest gap is honesty
Most sports-content platforms only post the wins, and rarely say how many picks a win rate is based on. If you're going to make decisions on probability, the record behind it should hold up to scrutiny: every pick is published and its odds frozen before kickoff, then folded straight into the public record once settled — wins and losses alike.
This site is a quantitative research process: we price against multiple bookmakers, estimate true probability, and only publish when the expected value is positive. The model keeps improving, but a pick that's already been published is never edited after the fact.
Our principles
Five rules we don't bend
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The record is computed live, never edited after the fact
Every number in the record is computed directly from the database — there's no field for typing one in by hand. A settled pick can only be voided or recalculated against a corrected score, and is labelled "void" or "corrected" when that happens.
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Sample size travels with every rate
Every hit rate or ROI is shown next to the number of picks it's based on. A leaderboard entry with too few picks simply doesn't make the list, so a small sample never gets to look better than it is.
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Losses stay published
The public record includes every pick that was ever published to members, win or lose. The only picks excluded are internal paper-trading strategies that were never published to anyone.
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Published before kickoff, odds frozen on the spot
Picks are always published before kickoff, and the odds you see are exactly what they were at publish time — never backfilled with a better number later.
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No betting referrals, 18+ only
We carry no referral or affiliate links to offshore betting sites; bookmaker names appear only as the source of the odds data. This site is for users 18 and older — please play within your means.
See for yourself
Don't take our word for it — check the data
Every principle above shows up concretely on the public record page: the odds at release, the sample size, and every void or correction, for every settled pick.
Understand it first, then decide
Sign up to see the full record and the AI win probability for every match; subscribe to unlock every pick and the model probabilities.